Al Ahli Jeddah 2-3 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.99
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
14%
8.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 42%
-16% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -11%
1.38/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.18
+10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
334 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 80%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
18.6 Crosses 20.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Nassr
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.31 xG 1.53
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
272 Passes 370
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
15.03.2024 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
22.09.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-3 HT 3-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
28.05.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
26.11.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
11.03.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
2-3
AWAY Al Nassr
2.63 xG 1.26
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
268 Passes 281
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr nicked a narrow win over Al Ahli Jeddah 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Al Nassr found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 49% of the ball to Al Nassr's 51%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.63 to 1.26 — on chances, Al Ahli Jeddah could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.83 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Nassr?

Al Ahli Jeddah 2-3 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 39%, draw 24%, Al Nassr 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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