Argentinos Juniors vs River Plate Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Argentinos Juniors v River Plate — Team-Based Signals
Argentinos Juniors vs River Plate Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-2
River Plate
ARJ
2-1
HT 0-1
Argentinos Juniors
ARJ
0-3
HT 0-0
River Plate
ARJ
4-2
HT 2-1
Argentinos Juniors
ARJ
Argentinos Juniors 1-0 River Plate — Actual Match Statistics
Argentinos Juniors squeezed past River Plate 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Argentinos Juniors as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 48% of the ball to River Plate's 52%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.77 to 0.66.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 2.00 for River Plate.
What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs River Plate?
Argentinos Juniors 1-0 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs River Plate?
Before kick-off our model rated a Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 46%, draw 28%, River Plate 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Argentinos Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.