Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.09
6+ Goals
11%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.78
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
19%
4.69
X/2
7%
7.81
X/X
15%
4.18
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
9%
6.19
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.59/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.34
-7% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
23.1 Crosses 18.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Santos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 1.12
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 Passes 298
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 3-0 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
05.08.2023 Santos Santos 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
28.09.2022 Santos Santos 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
05.06.2022 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-2 HT 1-1 Santos Santos BR1
30.10.2021 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 0-1 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
15.09.2021 Santos Santos 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
2-1
AWAY Santos
2.30 xG 0.97
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
321 Passes 247
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Atletico Paranaense vs Santos
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Atletico Paranaense edged past Santos 2-1 in the Brazil - Serie A on 13 Feb 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 56% of the ball to Santos's 44%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.30 to 0.97.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.00 for Santos.

What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Santos?

Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Santos in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Santos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 50%, draw 28%, Santos 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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