Internacional 1-3 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.33
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.52
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
19%
6.61
X/2
14%
5.42
X/X
9%
4.57
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
15%
3.31
2/X
8%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.3pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.8pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.26/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.22
-2% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.1 Crosses 20.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Palmeiras
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.86 xG 1.54
49% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
351 Passes 372
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2025 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4-1 HT 4-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
17.04.2025 Internacional Internacional 0-1 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
04.08.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-1 HT 1-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
18.04.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-1 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
12.11.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
17.07.2023 Internacional Internacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
1-3
AWAY Palmeiras
2.15 xG 0.91
62% Ball Possession 38%
26 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
16 Corners 4
413 Passes 243
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
45 Box Touches 13
37 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras saw off Internacional 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Palmeiras found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Internacional had 62% of the ball to Palmeiras's 38%, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 2.15 to 0.91 — on chances, Internacional could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Internacional and 1.50 for Palmeiras.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Palmeiras?

Internacional 1-3 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Internacional 40%, draw 23%, Palmeiras 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Internacional) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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