Internacional 0-1 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
5.31
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.14
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.65
X/1
15%
5.61
X/2
8%
5.7
X/X
13%
3.64
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
15%
4.24
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+6.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.8pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.30/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.26
+8% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.1 Crosses 19.9
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Palmeiras
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 1.44
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
300 Passes 344
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-1 HT 1-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
18.04.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-1 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
12.11.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
17.07.2023 Internacional Internacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
13.11.2022 Internacional Internacional 3-0 HT 2-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
24.07.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-1 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
0-1
AWAY Palmeiras
1.02 xG 0.86
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
508 Passes 222
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras edged past Internacional 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Internacional at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Internacional had 67% of the ball to Palmeiras's 33%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.02 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Internacional and 1.00 for Palmeiras.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Palmeiras?

Internacional 0-1 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Internacional 42%, draw 28%, Palmeiras 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Internacional) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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