Internacional 1-1 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 4 Aug 2024

Internacional
1-1 HT 1-0
Palmeiras
📅04/08/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Internacional vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.5
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.76
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.35
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
11%
4.65
X/2
8%
5.94
X/X
11%
3.98
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
14%
4.72
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Internacional v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.32/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.39
+15% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
17.9 Crosses 18.9
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Internacional vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Palmeiras
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 1.51
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
310 Passes 332
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.04.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-1 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
12.11.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
17.07.2023 Internacional Internacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
13.11.2022 Internacional Internacional 3-0 HT 2-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
24.07.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-1 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
17.10.2021 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1

Internacional 1-1 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
1-1
AWAY Palmeiras
1.57 xG 1.43
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
296 Passes 467
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
33 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional and Palmeiras couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Internacional at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Internacional had 40% of the ball to Palmeiras's 60%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.57 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Internacional and 1.00 for Palmeiras.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Palmeiras?

Internacional 1-1 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Internacional 42%, draw 26%, Palmeiras 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Internacional), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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