Corinthians vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 1-3
Corinthians
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BR1
0-2
HT 0-1
Fluminense
BR1
3-0
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BRK
Corinthians 0-2 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense got the better of Corinthians 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.
On the day, Corinthians had 58% of the ball to Fluminense's 42%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.82 to 1.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Corinthians and 0.83 for Fluminense.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Fluminense?
Corinthians 0-2 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 46%, draw 26%, Fluminense 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Corinthians) went the other way.