Vitoria vs Fortaleza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria v Fortaleza — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria vs Fortaleza Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BRK
3-0
HT 2-0
Vitoria
BRK
Vitoria 2-1 Fortaleza — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria nicked a narrow win over Fortaleza 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vitoria as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vitoria had 40% of the ball to Fortaleza's 60%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.92 to 1.06.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fortaleza led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Vitoria and 1.40 for Fortaleza.
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Fortaleza?
Vitoria 2-1 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Fortaleza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 43%, draw 26%, Fortaleza 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.