Vitoria vs Fortaleza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria v Fortaleza — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria vs Fortaleza Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BRK
3-0
HT 2-0
Vitoria
BRK
Vitoria 2-0 Fortaleza — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria beat Fortaleza 2-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Vitoria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Vitoria had 29% of the ball to Fortaleza's 71%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.88 to 0.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fortaleza led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vitoria and 1.75 for Fortaleza.
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Fortaleza?
Vitoria 2-0 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Fortaleza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 40%, draw 29%, Fortaleza 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.