Bragantino 1-1 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 2 Dec 2024

Bragantino
1-1 HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
📅02/12/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Bragantino vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
21.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 32% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
19%
4.39
X/2
10%
7.48
X/X
16%
4.2
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
8%
5.93
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.1pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bragantino v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.30/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.36
+10% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
21.2 Crosses 17.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Bragantino vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.38 xG 1.63
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
263 Passes 302
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.07.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
04.09.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
30.04.2023 Bragantino 0-3 HT 0-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1

Bragantino 1-1 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
1-1
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.37 xG 1.44
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 10
223 Passes 560
74% Pass Accuracy 91%
10 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino and Cruzeiro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bragantino at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Bragantino had 33% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 67%, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 0.37 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Bragantino and 1.67 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?

Bragantino 1-1 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 43%, draw 32%, Cruzeiro 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bragantino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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