Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Paranaense v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
2-1
HT 1-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Fluminense
BR1
Atletico Paranaense 1-1 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Paranaense and Fluminense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.
On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 29% of the ball to Fluminense's 71%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.14 to 1.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.33 for Fluminense.
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense?
Atletico Paranaense 1-1 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 39%, draw 28%, Fluminense 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), BTTS No went the other way.