Sport Recife 0-1 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 17 Apr 2025

Sport Recife
0-1 HT 0-1
Bragantino
📅17/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Sport Recife vs Bragantino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
21.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 33% vs market 30.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.31
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
16%
5.06
X/2
8%
6.49
X/X
14%
4.2
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
13%
4.87
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sport Recife v Bragantino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -19%
1.41/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.20
-18% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.6 Crosses 21.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9

Sport Recife vs Bragantino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Recife
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bragantino
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 1.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
280 Passes 391
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2021 Bragantino 3-0 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
07.08.2021 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
16.02.2021 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
19.10.2020 Bragantino 2-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
08.09.2019 Sport Recife Sport Recife 2-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR2
07.05.2019 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-1 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2

Sport Recife 0-1 Bragantino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Recife
0-1
AWAY Bragantino
0.78 xG 1.39
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 3
397 Passes 238
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 21
39 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sport Recife vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino edged past Sport Recife 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sport Recife at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sport Recife had 62% of the ball to Bragantino's 38%, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 0.78 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sport Recife and 1.17 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Bragantino?

Sport Recife 0-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 44%, draw 27%, Bragantino 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sport Recife) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sport Recife) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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