Fluminense 1-0 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.51
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.53
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.48
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
13%
4.32
X/2
7%
9.03
X/X
13%
4.07
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
8%
7.79
2/X
6%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fluminense EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.51/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.37
+5% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
19.9 Crosses 15.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fluminense
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Botafogo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.62 xG 1.45
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
432 Passes 298
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2025 Fluminense Fluminense 2-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
27.04.2025 Botafogo Botafogo 2-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
22.09.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
12.06.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
08.10.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 0-2 HT 0-2 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
21.05.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fluminense
1-0
AWAY Botafogo
1.56 xG 0.35
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
261 Passes 285
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 7
10 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Fluminense vs Botafogo
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Fluminense edged past Botafogo 1-0 in the Brazil - Serie A on 13 Feb 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fluminense had 48% of the ball to Botafogo's 52%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.56 to 0.35.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo lead the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fluminense and 1.17 for Botafogo.

What was the final score of Fluminense vs Botafogo?

Fluminense 1-0 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 53%, draw 27%, Botafogo 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fluminense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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