Fluminense 0-1 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.9
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.08
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
10%
14.5
X/1
8%
6.29
X/2
18%
4.56
X/X
9%
3.84
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.23
2/X
9%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fluminense EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
0.91/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.32
-12% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 82%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
17.0 Crosses 20.8
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fluminense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Botafogo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 1.31
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
512 Passes 219
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.06.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
08.10.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 0-2 HT 0-2 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
21.05.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
30.01.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BRC1
23.10.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 2-2 HT 0-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
26.06.2022 Botafogo Botafogo 0-1 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fluminense
0-1
AWAY Botafogo
0.40 xG 1.63
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
352 Passes 356
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Fluminense vs Botafogo
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Botafogo edged past Fluminense 1-0 away from home in the Brazil - Serie A on 22 Sep 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Fluminense had 50% of the ball to Botafogo's 50%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.40 to 1.63.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fluminense and 1.17 for Botafogo.

What was the final score of Fluminense vs Botafogo?

Fluminense 0-1 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 32%, draw 27%, Botafogo 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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