Fortaleza vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Fortaleza
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Bahia
BR1
0-3
HT 0-3
Fortaleza
BRCDN
3-1
HT 2-0
Bahia
BRCDN
2-1
HT 1-1
Bahia
BR1
Fortaleza 4-1 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza swept aside Bahia 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Fortaleza made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fortaleza had 36% of the ball to Bahia's 64%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.53 to 0.44.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fortaleza and 0.83 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Bahia?
Fortaleza 4-1 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 38%, draw 27%, Bahia 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.