Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.51
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.1
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
16%
4.5
X/2
8%
6.41
X/X
13%
4.08
2/1
5%
29.5
2/2
13%
5.08
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
1.22/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.19
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
21.5 Crosses 20.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Bragantino
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.43 xG 1.26
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
409 Passes 302
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.06.2024 Bragantino 1-2 HT 1-2 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
26.10.2023 Bragantino 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
11.06.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
07.09.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
12.05.2022 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
05.12.2021 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 4-3 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
3-0
AWAY Bragantino
2.40 xG 0.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
297 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro ran out comfortable winners over Bragantino 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 50% of the ball to Bragantino's 50%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 2.40 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 1.33 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Bragantino?

Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 45%, draw 27%, Bragantino 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Mineiro), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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