Fluminense 2-0 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 28 Sep 2025

Fluminense
2-0 HT 1-0
Botafogo
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Fluminense vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.17
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.03
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
16%
4.49
X/2
11%
6.98
X/X
13%
3.68
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
15%
5.93
2/X
6%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fluminense v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fluminense EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +16%
1.42/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.32
-8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
329 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
21.2 Crosses 16.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Fluminense vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fluminense
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Botafogo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.58 xG 1.54
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
451 Passes 279
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.04.2025 Botafogo Botafogo 2-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
22.09.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
12.06.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
08.10.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 0-2 HT 0-2 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
21.05.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
30.01.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BRC1

Fluminense 2-0 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fluminense
2-0
AWAY Botafogo
0.82 xG 0.97
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
340 Passes 396
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Fluminense vs Botafogo
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Fluminense beat Botafogo 2-0 in the Brazil - Serie A on 28 Sep 2025. Half-time: 1-0.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score was close to even at 41%.

On the day, Fluminense had 47% of the ball to Botafogo's 53%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.82 to 0.97.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo lead the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Fluminense and 1.33 for Botafogo.

What was the final score of Fluminense vs Botafogo?

Fluminense 2-0 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 44%, draw 25%, Botafogo 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fluminense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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