Spartak Varna 2-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 13 Feb 2026

Spartak Varna
2-2 HT 1-0
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
📅13/02/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.6pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartak Varna v Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 49%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.08/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.28
+13% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Varna
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.08.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
28.03.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
06.10.2024 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 3-2 HT 1-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
18.11.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BULK

Spartak Varna 2-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Varna
2-2
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Varna and Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (28% / 32% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spartak Varna had 43% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 57%, shots finished 14-16.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spartak Varna and 1.00 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Spartak Varna 2-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 28%, draw 32%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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