Always Ready 1-0 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.7pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.0pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Always Ready EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -20%
1.53/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.58
+15% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 74%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
18.8 Crosses 17.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Always Ready
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Guabira
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.79 xG 0.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
272 Passes 240
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Guabira Guabira 3-1 HT 1-0 Always Ready Always Ready BOLİ
12.11.2023 Guabira Guabira 0-0 HT 0-0 Always Ready Always Ready BOLİ
15.05.2023 Always Ready Always Ready 3-0 HT 2-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
07.09.2022 Always Ready Always Ready 2-1 HT 0-1 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
27.11.2021 Always Ready Always Ready 6-1 HT 3-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
02.08.2021 Guabira Guabira 0-0 HT 0-0 Always Ready Always Ready BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Always Ready
1-0
AWAY Guabira
2.58 xG 0.05
61% Ball Possession 39%
30 Total Shots 3
14 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 1
340 Passes 199
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
37 Box Touches 3
23 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Always Ready vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Always Ready squeezed past Guabira 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Always Ready as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Always Ready had 61% of the ball to Guabira's 39%, shots finished 30-3, expected goals 2.58 to 0.05 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Always Ready's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Always Ready had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Always Ready and 0.83 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Always Ready vs Guabira?

Always Ready 1-0 Guabira in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Always Ready vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Always Ready win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Always Ready 53%, draw 27%, Guabira 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Always Ready), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Always Ready) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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