Independiente Petrolero 1-0 Universitario de Vinto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.3pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
0.90/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.73
-9% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
254 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
19.3 Crosses 11.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.64 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
199 Passes 247
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.03.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 2-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
22.10.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-2 HT 0-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
17.08.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLPLK
28.04.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
07.09.2022 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 4-1 HT 2-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
15.05.2022 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
1-0
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
0.98 xG 0.88
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 5
179 Passes 354
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero edged past Universitario de Vinto 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 36% of the ball to Universitario de Vinto's 64%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.98 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario de Vinto led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.50 for Universitario de Vinto.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?

Independiente Petrolero 1-0 Universitario de Vinto in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 41%, draw 31%, Universitario de Vinto 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Petrolero), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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