FC Minsk 1-2 Naftan Novopolotsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
5.34
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+7.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.0pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.20/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.51
+0% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Minsk
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
20.04.2024 FC Minsk FC Minsk 1-1 HT 1-1 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
25.08.2023 FC Minsk FC Minsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
14.04.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
11.07.2015 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
11.04.2015 FC Minsk FC Minsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Minsk
1-2
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naftan Novopolotsk edged past FC Minsk 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Naftan Novopolotsk made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Minsk had 44% of the ball to Naftan Novopolotsk's 56%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Minsk had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Minsk and 0.17 for Naftan Novopolotsk.

What was the final score of FC Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

FC Minsk 1-2 Naftan Novopolotsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naftan Novopolotsk win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Minsk 34%, draw 29%, Naftan Novopolotsk 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naftan Novopolotsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naftan Novopolotsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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