Naftan Novopolotsk 0-2 FC Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.42
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -7%
1.06/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.22
-15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
0W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Minsk
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 FC Minsk FC Minsk 1-1 HT 1-1 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
25.08.2023 FC Minsk FC Minsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
14.04.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
11.07.2015 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
11.04.2015 FC Minsk FC Minsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
0-2
AWAY FC Minsk
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Naftan Novopolotsk vs FC Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Minsk got the better of Naftan Novopolotsk 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Naftan Novopolotsk at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Naftan Novopolotsk had 57% of the ball to FC Minsk's 43%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FC Minsk led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Naftan Novopolotsk and 0.60 for FC Minsk.

What was the final score of Naftan Novopolotsk vs FC Minsk?

Naftan Novopolotsk 0-2 FC Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naftan Novopolotsk vs FC Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naftan Novopolotsk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Naftan Novopolotsk 41%, draw 25%, FC Minsk 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Naftan Novopolotsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naftan Novopolotsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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