Vitebsk 0-1 Neman Grodno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
50%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.06
No
64%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.6
6+ Goals
7%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 37% vs market 32.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+6.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.6pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 56%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.80/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.96
-18% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
250 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitebsk
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Neman Grodno
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 0-1 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
12.03.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-1 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLRK
05.03.2023 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLRK
12.11.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-1 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
16.07.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-2 HT 1-2 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
18.07.2021 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitebsk
0-1
AWAY Neman Grodno
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vitebsk vs Neman Grodno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neman Grodno nicked a narrow win over Vitebsk 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Vitebsk had 48% of the ball to Neman Grodno's 52%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitebsk had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vitebsk and 0.83 for Neman Grodno.

What was the final score of Vitebsk vs Neman Grodno?

Vitebsk 0-1 Neman Grodno in the Belarus - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitebsk vs Neman Grodno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vitebsk 28%, draw 22%, Neman Grodno 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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