Havadar 2-3 Shams Azar Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
36%
3.04
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.41
Over 2.5
29%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
6.3
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.6pp
37%
Draw
29%
+7.1pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.7pp
71%
Under 2.5
67%
+3.4pp
29%
Over 2.5
33%
-3.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-2.0pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havadar EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 49%
-10% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.58/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.27
-23% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havadar
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.10.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 1-1 HT 1-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
22.02.2024 Havadar Havadar 2-1 HT 1-1 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
16.08.2023 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 1-2 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
POST-MATCH Havadar vs Shams Azar Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shams Azar Qazvin squeezed past Havadar 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 37% / 37% — and on the day Shams Azar Qazvin made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Havadar had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Havadar and 1.00 for Shams Azar Qazvin.

What was the final score of Havadar vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Havadar 2-3 Shams Azar Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havadar vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shams Azar Qazvin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Havadar 27%, draw 37%, Shams Azar Qazvin 37%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (27/37/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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