Shams Azar Qazvin 1-1 Havadar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 17 Oct 2024

📅17/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.45
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-9.3pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.6pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+1.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Havadar EU Bookmakers 18%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +21%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.91
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +37%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Havadar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
22.02.2024 Havadar Havadar 2-1 HT 1-1 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
16.08.2023 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 1-2 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
POST-MATCH Shams Azar Qazvin vs Havadar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shams Azar Qazvin and Havadar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Shams Azar Qazvin at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Havadar led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shams Azar Qazvin and 2.00 for Havadar.

What was the final score of Shams Azar Qazvin vs Havadar?

Shams Azar Qazvin 1-1 Havadar in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Havadar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shams Azar Qazvin win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Shams Azar Qazvin 51%, draw 32%, Havadar 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shams Azar Qazvin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shams Azar Qazvin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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