Corinthians 2-0 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.77
6+ Goals
9%
7.83
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.24 — our 29% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-12.1pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.8pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +14%
1.80/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.55
+0% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
48.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
30.7 Crosses 13.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Barcelona SC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.34 xG 1.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 11
324 Passes 345
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 3-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
2-0
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.48 xG 0.20
72% Ball Possession 28%
24 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 4
414 Passes 121
85% Pass Accuracy 62%
44 Box Touches 8
44 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians saw off Barcelona SC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Corinthians had 72% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 28%, shots finished 24-3, expected goals 1.48 to 0.20.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Barcelona SC?

Corinthians 2-0 Barcelona SC in the Copa Libertadores on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 58%, draw 21%, Barcelona SC 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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