El Geish 0-1 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
5.41
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.2pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.0pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.10/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.02
-12% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 71%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
19.7 Crosses 13.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Geish
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Ismaily
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 0.90
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
264 Passes 361
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2025 Ismaily Ismaily 1-2 HT 1-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
24.08.2024 El Geish El Geish 1-1 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSRK
14.05.2024 El Geish El Geish 1-1 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
05.11.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 2-3 HT 1-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
08.06.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
18.01.2023 El Geish El Geish 1-1 HT 1-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
0-1
AWAY Ismaily
0.79 xG 0.45
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
422 Passes 173
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH El Geish vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ismaily nicked a narrow win over El Geish 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Ismaily made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, El Geish had 66% of the ball to Ismaily's 34%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.79 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Geish had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for El Geish and 1.00 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of El Geish vs Ismaily?

El Geish 0-1 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Geish win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split El Geish 34%, draw 32%, Ismaily 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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