Nafta 3-2 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.55
2-3 Goals
48%
1.71
4-5 Goals
15%
4.11
6+ Goals
10%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 32%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
2.00/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.13
+60% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Domzale
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Domzale Domzale 2-1 HT 0-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
30.08.2024 Nafta Nafta 5-2 HT 2-2 Domzale Domzale SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
3-2
AWAY Domzale
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nafta vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta edged past Domzale 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nafta as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nafta had 67% of the ball to Domzale's 33%, shots finished 13-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Nafta and 2.00 for Domzale.

What was the final score of Nafta vs Domzale?

Nafta 3-2 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nafta 45%, draw 25%, Domzale 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nafta), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nafta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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