Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.61
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.53
2-3 Goals
39%
2.0
4-5 Goals
27%
2.48
6+ Goals
11%
5.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
15%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.0pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.08/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.55
+3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
18.0 Crosses 18.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Riyadh
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.33 xG 0.71
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
591 Passes 295
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2024 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
18.02.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
24.08.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-4 HT 0-3 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2-1
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.87 xG 0.80
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
461 Passes 316
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah nicked a narrow win over Al Riyadh 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 58% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 42%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.87 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 0.00 for Al Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Riyadh?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 55%, draw 20%, Al Riyadh 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
13 Mar 2025
22:00 Al Fateh vs Al Raed Analysis →
22:00 Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Orubah Analysis →