Al Fateh 3-1 Al Raed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
9.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Raed EU Bookmakers 21%
-15% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.53/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.54
-20% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
25.1 Crosses 10.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Raed
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.77
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
403 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Al Raed Al Raed 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
18.04.2024 Al Fateh Al Fateh 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
27.10.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
10.04.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
15.10.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
08.01.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-3 HT 0-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
3-1
AWAY Al Raed
1.65 xG 0.45
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
347 Passes 260
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Raed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fateh saw off Al Raed 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Fateh as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Fateh had 55% of the ball to Al Raed's 45%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.65 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Fateh and 1.17 for Al Raed.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Raed?

Al Fateh 3-1 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Raed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 52%, draw 24%, Al Raed 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Fateh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Fateh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
13 Mar 2025
22:00 Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Riyadh Analysis →
22:00 Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Orubah Analysis →