Al Riyadh 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.71
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
50%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.96
Over 2.5
53%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.49
No
53%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.78
2-3 Goals
43%
2.16
4-5 Goals
24%
2.48
6+ Goals
9%
5.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.8pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.8pp
50%
Away Win
63%
-12.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
30%
+17.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
70%
-17.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
63%
-16.3pp
53%
BTTS No
37%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 67%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
0.80/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.98
+1% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +17%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
251 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 83%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
17.6 Crosses 20.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riyadh
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.84 xG 2.78
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
360 Passes 564
85% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.02.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
24.08.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-4 HT 0-3 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
0-1
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0.46 xG 1.42
26% Ball Possession 74%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
165 Passes 645
70% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah edged past Al Riyadh 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 26% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 74%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.46 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Al Riyadh and 3.00 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Riyadh 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 29%, draw 21%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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