Al Orubah 0-3 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.85
No
61%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.87
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.06
6+ Goals
8%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 38% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.7pp
61%
BTTS No
50%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 51%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.02/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.02
-22% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
245 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
13.0 Crosses 15.4
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Orubah
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
266 Passes 408
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
26.04.2015 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD
06.04.2014 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Orubah
0-3
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
1.43 xG 1.75
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
299 Passes 520
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 36
19 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Orubah vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh swept aside Al Orubah 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Shabab Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Al Orubah had 39% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 61%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.43 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Orubah and 2.00 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Orubah vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Al Orubah 0-3 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Orubah vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Orubah 29%, draw 30%, Al Shabab Riyadh 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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