Al Wehda 1-3 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 34% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 40%
-12% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.20/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.88
-5% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +38%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
17.9 Crosses 22.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.62 xG 1.08
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
324 Passes 336
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
25.11.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
22.05.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-4 HT 1-2 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
13.01.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
14.03.2022 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-2 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD1
03.11.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
1-3
AWAY Al Khaleej
0.86 xG 2.10
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 6
285 Passes 391
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Khaleej beat Al Wehda 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Al Khaleej made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Wehda had 44% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 56%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.86 to 2.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wehda had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Wehda and 1.83 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al Khaleej?

Al Wehda 1-3 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wehda win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 36%, draw 29%, Al Khaleej 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Wehda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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