Kiboga Young 1-3 Lugazi Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 13 Mar 2025

Kiboga Young
1-3
Lugazi Municipal
📅13/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2024/2025

Kiboga Young vs Lugazi Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
46%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+7.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.1pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kiboga Young v Lugazi Municipal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kiboga Young EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 58%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
227 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Kiboga Young vs Lugazi Municipal Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kiboga Young
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.10.2024 Lugazi Municipal 1-1 Kiboga Young UGA
POST-MATCH Kiboga Young vs Lugazi Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugazi Municipal saw off Kiboga Young 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lugazi Municipal as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Kiboga Young vs Lugazi Municipal?

Kiboga Young 1-3 Lugazi Municipal in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kiboga Young vs Lugazi Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lugazi Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kiboga Young 27%, draw 28%, Lugazi Municipal 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugazi Municipal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lugazi Municipal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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