Express vs Uganda Police Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Express v Uganda Police — Team-Based Signals
Express vs Uganda Police Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Uganda Police
UGA
1-2
HT 1-1
Express
UGA
Express 1-2 Uganda Police — Actual Match Statistics
Uganda Police squeezed past Express 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Uganda Police made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Express had 61% of the ball to Uganda Police's 39%, shots finished 14-7.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Express had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Express and 1.33 for Uganda Police.
What was the final score of Express vs Uganda Police?
Express 1-2 Uganda Police in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Express vs Uganda Police?
Before kick-off our model rated a Express win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Express 39%, draw 32%, Uganda Police 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.