UPDF vs Kampala City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UPDF v Kampala City — Team-Based Signals
UPDF vs Kampala City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Kampala City
UGA
UPDF 1-2 Kampala City — Actual Match Statistics
Kampala City squeezed past UPDF 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kampala City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, UPDF had 56% of the ball to Kampala City's 44%, shots finished 12-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kampala City led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for UPDF and 1.33 for Kampala City.
What was the final score of UPDF vs Kampala City?
UPDF 1-2 Kampala City in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UPDF vs Kampala City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split UPDF 27%, draw 32%, Kampala City 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kampala City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.