Bray Wanderers 2-1 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
9%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 31% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 37%
+16% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.98/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.34
+47% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
352 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-2 HT 1-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
24.10.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-1 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
29.08.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 3-2 HT 2-2 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
23.06.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-2 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
21.04.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
31.03.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-1 HT 0-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Univ College Dublin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Bray Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bray Wanderers and 1.33 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Univ College Dublin?

Bray Wanderers 2-1 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 38%, draw 28%, Univ College Dublin 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bray Wanderers) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5
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