Finn Harps 2-2 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
16%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 32% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -17%
1.36/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.24
-10% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Treaty United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.08.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
27.06.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 0-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
02.05.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-2 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
28.02.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 3-1 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
18.10.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-2 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
26.07.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 1-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps and Treaty United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Finn Harps at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Finn Harps and 1.33 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Treaty United?

Finn Harps 2-2 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 46%, draw 28%, Treaty United 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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