Finn Harps vs Treaty United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Finn Harps v Treaty United — Team-Based Signals
Finn Harps vs Treaty United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Finn Harps 1-0 Treaty United — Actual Match Statistics
Finn Harps found just enough to beat Treaty United 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Finn Harps as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 54%. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.85, roughly 54%.
The match data tells the story: Treaty United saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 4-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Finn Harps against 1.33 for Treaty United.
Finn Harps vs Treaty United Result & Final Score
Finn Harps 1 - 0 Treaty United in the Ireland - Premier Division on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Finn Harps vs Treaty United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 46%, draw 28%, Treaty United 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Finn Harps), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.