Finn Harps 0-2 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.84
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
16.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -18%
1.49/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.19
+14% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
244 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Treaty United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
28.02.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 3-1 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
18.10.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-2 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
26.07.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 1-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
03.05.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-0 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
29.03.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 0-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
06.10.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 2-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
0-2
AWAY Treaty United
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United got the better of Finn Harps 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Treaty United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Finn Harps had 51% of the ball to Treaty United's 49%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Finn Harps and 1.33 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Treaty United?

Finn Harps 0-2 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 36%, draw 27%, Treaty United 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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