Univ College Dublin 0-1 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.81
2-3 Goals
34%
1.74
4-5 Goals
28%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
17.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.53/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.04
-2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Kerry
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.03.2025 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
30.08.2024 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
07.06.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-1 Kerry İR1
10.05.2024 Kerry 1-2 HT 1-2 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
01.04.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry squeezed past Univ College Dublin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Univ College Dublin at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Univ College Dublin and 0.60 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Kerry?

Univ College Dublin 0-1 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 50%, draw 24%, Kerry 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Univ College Dublin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✓ BTTS No
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