Dundalk vs Kerry Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dundalk v Kerry — Team-Based Signals
Dundalk vs Kerry Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Dundalk 3-3 Kerry — Actual Match Statistics
Dundalk and Kerry couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dundalk at 72% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
On the day, Dundalk had 58% of the ball to Kerry's 42%, shots finished 24-4.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dundalk and 0.00 for Kerry.
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Kerry?
Dundalk 3-3 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Kerry?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 72%, draw 16%, Kerry 12%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dundalk), BTTS No went the other way.