Dundalk vs Kerry Prediction — Model Probabilities
Dundalk v Kerry — Team-Based Signals
Dundalk vs Kerry Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Dundalk 3-3 Kerry — Actual Match Statistics
a 3-3 draw left Dundalk and Kerry with a point apiece. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
File this under upsets: a 76% lean on Dundalk went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Dundalk had 58% of the ball to Kerry's 42%, shots finished 24-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dundalk and 0.00 for Kerry.
Dundalk vs Kerry Result & Final Score
Dundalk 3 - 3 Kerry in the Ireland - Premier Division on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Dundalk vs Kerry Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 76%, draw 16%, Kerry 8%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dundalk), BTTS No went the other way.