Dundalk 2-0 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
9.06
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 24% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
69%
-9.5pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.2pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.72/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.22
-22% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kerry
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
28.02.2025 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
2-0
AWAY Kerry
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk got the better of Kerry 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Dundalk had 57% of the ball to Kerry's 43%, shots finished 7-6.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Kerry?

Dundalk 2-0 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 59%, draw 24%, Kerry 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dundalk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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