Treaty United 5-1 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.95
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
29%
2.94
6+ Goals
12%
9.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-7.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 24%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
2.32/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.83
+41% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Longford Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
27.09.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 3-1 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
10.08.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-4 HT 1-3 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
31.05.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 1-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
13.05.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
30.09.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-3 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
5-1
AWAY Longford Town
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United ran out comfortable winners over Longford Town 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Treaty United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Treaty United had 59% of the ball to Longford Town's 41%, shots finished 19-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Treaty United and 1.33 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Longford Town?

Treaty United 5-1 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 50%, draw 25%, Longford Town 25%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Treaty United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Treaty United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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