Longford Town 2-0 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
38%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
38%
Away Win
49%
-10.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 53%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.14/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.42
-13% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Treaty United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 3-1 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
10.08.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-4 HT 1-3 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
31.05.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 1-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
13.05.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
30.09.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-3 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
04.08.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 2-3 HT 2-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Longford Town got the better of Treaty United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Longford Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Longford Town and 2.33 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Treaty United?

Longford Town 2-0 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 32%, draw 29%, Treaty United 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Treaty United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Treaty United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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