Finn Harps 1-2 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
+8.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.26/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.49
-4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
238 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.04 xG 1.18
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
210 Passes 216
60% Pass Accuracy 62%
17 Box Touches 5
34 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
23.08.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
13.06.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
17.05.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 3-3 HT 1-2 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
05.04.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
28.10.2022 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-3 HT 1-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
1-2
AWAY Univ College Dublin
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin squeezed past Finn Harps 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Univ College Dublin found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Finn Harps had 48% of the ball to Univ College Dublin's 52%, shots finished 7-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Finn Harps and 1.83 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Univ College Dublin?

Finn Harps 1-2 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 39%, draw 26%, Univ College Dublin 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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