Freiburg (K) 2-1 Nürnberg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.43
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-4.9pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.1pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.15/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.80
-81% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
24.0 Crosses 12.4
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Nürnberg (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.82 xG 0.53
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
418 Passes 104
78% Pass Accuracy 48%
44 Box Touches 9
40 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Nürnberg (K) Nürnberg (K) 3-2 HT 2-0 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
17.03.2024 Nürnberg (K) Nürnberg (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg (K)
2-1
AWAY Nürnberg (K)
2.31 xG 1.43
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 9
364 Passes 126
76% Pass Accuracy 50%
30 Box Touches 27
25 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Freiburg (K) vs Nürnberg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg (K) squeezed past Nürnberg (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Freiburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Freiburg (K) had 65% of the ball to Nürnberg (K)'s 35%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 2.31 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nürnberg (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Freiburg (K) and 1.50 for Nürnberg (K).

What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs Nürnberg (K)?

Freiburg (K) 2-1 Nürnberg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs Nürnberg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 61%, draw 19%, Nürnberg (K) 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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