Belmont Swansea 2-4 Weston Bears — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
52%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.6pp
17%
Draw
22%
-5.6pp
52%
Away Win
51%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.6pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belmont Swansea EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston Bears EU Bookmakers 56%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.41/3.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.41
+8% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -10%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
220 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belmont Swansea
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Weston Bears
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
05.07.2025 Weston Bears Weston Bears 4-2 HT 1-1 Belmont Swansea AVNPL
05.04.2025 Belmont Swansea 0-3 HT 0-1 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
POST-MATCH Belmont Swansea vs Weston Bears
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston Bears saw off Belmont Swansea 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Weston Bears as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Weston Bears led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Belmont Swansea and 3.50 for Weston Bears.

What was the final score of Belmont Swansea vs Weston Bears?

Belmont Swansea 2-4 Weston Bears in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belmont Swansea vs Weston Bears?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weston Bears win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Belmont Swansea 31%, draw 17%, Weston Bears 52%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston Bears), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Weston Bears) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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