Green Gully 0-1 South Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Mar 2026

Green Gully
0-1 HT 0-1
South Melbourne
📅13/03/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2026

Green Gully vs South Melbourne Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Green Gully v South Melbourne — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Green Gully EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY South Melbourne EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
2.45/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.39/3.09
-10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
233 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.0 Crosses 18.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Green Gully vs South Melbourne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Green Gully
1W-1D-4L
AWAY South Melbourne
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.08.2025 South Melbourne South Melbourne 1-1 HT 1-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
25.04.2025 Green Gully Green Gully 1-0 HT 0-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
13.07.2024 Green Gully Green Gully 0-1 HT 0-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
12.04.2024 South Melbourne South Melbourne 3-0 HT 1-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
28.05.2023 South Melbourne South Melbourne 1-0 HT 1-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
24.02.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 1-3 HT 0-1 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Green Gully vs South Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Melbourne squeezed past Green Gully 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had South Melbourne as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Melbourne led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Green Gully and 1.50 for South Melbourne.

What was the final score of Green Gully vs South Melbourne?

Green Gully 0-1 South Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Green Gully vs South Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an South Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Green Gully 32%, draw 26%, South Melbourne 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Melbourne), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (South Melbourne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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