Al Najma 1-0 Al Hadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
47%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.38
6+ Goals
7%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 34% vs market 25.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
47%
Away Win
39%
+8.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.8pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hadd EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.68/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.13
+56% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Hadd
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Al Hadd Al Hadd 3-1 HT 0-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
19.05.2024 Al Hadd Al Hadd 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
05.02.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 4-2 HT 0-1 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
21.04.2022 Al Najma Al Najma 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
16.09.2021 Al Hadd Al Hadd 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
30.04.2021 Al Hadd Al Hadd 4-1 HT 2-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Al Hadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma edged past Al Hadd 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Hadd at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hadd led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Najma and 2.33 for Al Hadd.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al Hadd?

Al Najma 1-0 Al Hadd in the Bahrain - Premier League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al Hadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hadd win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 30%, draw 23%, Al Hadd 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Hadd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hadd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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